Module 1

What You're Actually Trading

  • 4 lessons
  • 3,026 words
  • Updated

This module is included with the course

Below is what every lesson argues, in its own words. The full text is about 3,026 words. One-time payment in USDT. No subscription.

  1. A price is a probability
    Every price on a prediction market is a probability estimate wearing a dollar sign. Once you can read it that way, you can evaluate any market on the platform without knowing anything about the topic.
  2. Yes and No are the same trade
    Every market has two sides that always price to $1.00 together. Learning to think in No shares roughly doubles the opportunities you can see, and often gives you a better version of the same trade.
  3. How a market actually resolves
    Every market is settled by a specific written rule, interpreted by a specific mechanism. Reading that rule before you trade is the highest-value five minutes in this entire course.
  4. Getting funded and placing your first trade
    Onboarding is the most-abandoned step and the one where beginners lose money to avoidable mistakes rather than to bad predictions. Follow the path for your venue exactly.

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