Module 1
What You're Actually Trading
This module is included with the course
Below is what every lesson argues, in its own words. The full text is about 3,026 words. One-time payment in USDT. No subscription.
- A price is a probability
Every price on a prediction market is a probability estimate wearing a dollar sign. Once you can read it that way, you can evaluate any market on the platform without knowing anything about the topic. - Yes and No are the same trade
Every market has two sides that always price to $1.00 together. Learning to think in No shares roughly doubles the opportunities you can see, and often gives you a better version of the same trade. - How a market actually resolves
Every market is settled by a specific written rule, interpreted by a specific mechanism. Reading that rule before you trade is the highest-value five minutes in this entire course. - Getting funded and placing your first trade
Onboarding is the most-abandoned step and the one where beginners lose money to avoidable mistakes rather than to bad predictions. Follow the path for your venue exactly.